[This Transcript is Unedited]
Hubert Humphrey Building
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Proceedings by:
CASET Associates
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Agenda Item: Call to Order. Welcome and Charge to the Participants.
DR. VIGILANTE: My name is Kevin Vigilante. We are going to go around and introduce ourselves before we get going.
I do want to thank everyone for braving the wintry mix. It sounds like a medley of tunes, but we appreciate your coming.
I think we will have a very interesting program today. We have some great speakers here and discussants. I couldn't restrain myself.
I felt rather guilty that we can't provide you lunch, but we did get from the cafeteria some odds and ends, here on the corner of the table, mixed nuts, apples and sort of snack bars, if you are about to get hyperglycemic or anything.
Why don't we start, by way of introductions, with Jim and go around the table and then we will talk about what our agenda is and a little bit of background.
[Introductions made around table, around perimeter of room, and on speakerphone.]
So, I would like to sort of give some backdrop to this, and I think Bill and Jim will also add some color commentary.
I think for context it is important to understand what the NCVHS is. The NCHVS, the National Committee on Vital and health Statistics, is a statutory public advisory body that advises the Secretary on health data, statistics, and national health information policy.
Since our mission is really focused on data and information, we are coming at this problem from that perspective.
We have, in the wake of Katrina and other recent events, really thought it would be very important to focus on data needs relative to preparedness and response.
Now, of course, that is a very, very big topic. It is a very, very big area. I think today's session is really a first step in an exploratory process for us to understand better what we ought to be doing in this environment as a committee, to make recommendations to the Secretary.
I think at one level this is a bit of a brain storming process. So, we don't want to be constrained too much on sort of driving hypotheses about what we ought to be doing and focusing on.
On the other hand, we are constrained by our mission, which is around information and data. A hypothesis going into this, at one level, is that there is probably data that we are not collecting that we should be, data that we are collecting that we perhaps shouldn't be, different parties collecting data, the same data, but asking for it in different ways.
Thirdly, there is probably data that a number of agencies and entities are collecting that should be sharing and it would be more efficient to do that way.
I think that is sort of the going in sort of perspective. We may come out with a different perspective. I think, after hearing from folks today -- there are a number of folks with presentations -- we really don't want this to be sort of a didactic session.
What we really want is a robust exchange of ideas and discussion. So, don't feel inhibited in any way. So, that would be my perspective on the data. I would ask Bill and Jim to add their perspective as well.
DR. W. SCANLON: I would just underscore that we are a committee that is focused on data and sort of information.
While we may sort of have collectively in this room many opinions about what the state of surge capacity sort of is in this country, it is not our role to try and recommend policies that are going to address that. It is really to focus sort of on the information side of it.
Now, for me personally, when I wear another hat, which is as a member of the medicare payment advisory commission, there is an intersection here of interest.
One of the things that is sort of a reality is that surge capacity may be a very important service that hospitals provide to this country, but there is a question of, if we are going to sort of recognize it and pay for it, how can we sort of do that in a reasonable and reliable way.
The need to do that was brought home to me when I actually used to be at GAO. We did some work on emergency room capacity.
One of the sort of sets of comments that we got from some hospital executives is that they had eliminated a lot of their essentially surge capacity.
They had sort of taken to heart the message they were getting from payers and sort of from the American people, which is that they needed to be more efficient, and they had right sized.
So, if, in the process of right sizing, we are throwing sort of out the essential services that we may need at a point in time, we are doing the wrong thing.
So, we need, in terms of setting sort of the direction through the payment policies that we have sort of in our public programs, we need to recognize sort of what are the multiple types of services that we want, including that stand by capacity that represents surge, and make sure that it is there when we need it, make sure that we are paying sort of sufficiently for it, and that we are getting it when we pay for it.
So,I bring that kind of perspective to this as well. Again, we are here today more focused on the issue of what is it that we should be measuring in surge, how well are we doing it today, how can we do it better for the future.
MR. J. SCANLON: I will just add to that, and then I will be setting the stage for this particular focus as well, but I just might, in terms of perspective, the National Committee on Vital and Health Statistics actually has a long and distinguished history of advisory HHS and the health care and public health community on data issues, data needs, and so on, really going back a long time.
Many of the initiatives and many of the data resources that we now take for granted actually arose out of recommendations from this committee.
I am here at HHS and I am also on the receiving end of many of the recommendations as well. So, at any rate, we asked the committee, the department did, to kind of look at this issue at least in an exploratory way, and I will give you a little bit more history as we get started.
It arose out of experiences more recently, over the past five years, six years, seven years particularly, and a desire to get a better grasp on what the actual standards and best practices and data and resources and approaches are in this area.
There are broader public health preparedness issue and measures that we will be interested in later, but we are focusing today on, in essence, the health care preparedness, I guess, and surge capacity is one dimension.
DR. VIGILANTE: I think we are going to kick off with Rick Niska and Katherine Burt sort of doing a presentation about --
MR. J. SCANLON: If I could give just a little overview?
DR. VIGILANTE: I am sorry, yes.
Agenda Item: Overview of the Data Challenge.
MR. J. SCANLON: Let me again, just to focus, I am Jim Scanlon and I am here with HHS. My office is sort of the corporate departmental office of planning and evaluation.
So, we don't have operational programs to run. We are supposed to be the think tank, the analytic office, the evaluation office, and the data mining office. So, we have initiated a couple of activities and tried to develop data in this area.
In terms of history, I probably don't need to remind this group but, beginning with 9-11, beginning with anthrax scares, following Katrina and Rita response efforts almost a year and a half ago now, and then with an emphasis on preparedness for all threats and all hazards, and now more recently with the focus on pandemic preparedness, a lot of different strands have come together now.
They have clearly forced us to take a look at the whole national response and preparedness apparatus in the United States, what the play book is, what the responsibilities are, and what the dimensions are of preparedness, and what the responsibilities are.
I think that Katrina particularly, the federal response, the local and state response to Hurricane Katrina and, later, Rita, I think really pointed out some of the -- again, you could argue that those were unique situations and maybe don't make a good model to plan upon, but they clearly showed us some weaknesses and limitations in a lot of things, from the federal level to the local level, for the protocol and the play book and responsibilities, and for some of the basic assumptions about how the whole national response plan is set up.
The national response plan -- you know better than I -- is kind of the national play book and model for how emergency incidents are to be handled. There are various scenarios for various threats.
As a result of Katrina and Rita, that really had to be looked at again. I think the basic framework was considered sound, but there needed to be a lot more fleshing out and clarity.
One of the fundamental assumptions, though, of the national response plan, the various scenarios and the incident command situations, was that there was, in essence, the community level would be handling first response, would be handling most emergencies.
Then, if the event proceeded to the scale and the complexity and severity that additional resources were required, then the community leaders would call upon the states.
If those resources were overwhelmed as well, then the call would be upon the federal level, but it had to be initiated, the request had to be somehow initiated at one level, to the top.
Then the federal government, where we are, has a number of resources that can often be augmentary, sometimes primary.
In terms of augmenting, maybe the health care resources, the public health and the medical support, and the human services dimension as well.
In Katrina and others, HHS has the major responsibility for the whole federal interagency response. It is called the medical and public health response, and there is a whole set of array of resources and so on that can be provided.
Again, much of this framework rests upon this local government first response, community first response, not just the local government, then the state, then the federal level -- well, regional levels, and interstate contacts and so on, and then the federal level.
I think what we all found was that a lot of assumptions were made about readiness and preparedness and resources and capabilities at all of those levels.
I think the experience with Rita showed that probably some of those, at least, were not well founded assumptions.
One of the critical areas, and certainly not the only area, was in the area of health care, health care organizational and hospital preparedness at the community level.
Again, I think there were some marvelous, very exceptional examples. At the same time, I don't think anyone thought we had a systematic assessment before the fact of how really -- well, this is what we are assuming is readiness.
We didn't really have a systematic sense of where everyone really was. The reason for assessing systematically is really to keep improving, find out where the gaps are, where attention and resources need to be put.
So, we in our office, when we did lessons learned at the federal level at any rate on Katrina and the federal response, I think everyone thought we needed to get a better sense of, can we assess, can we measure, can we periodically take stock on where we are with the whole array of preparedness issues.
Some of them are states, some of them are directed at the state level and the preparedness level, but some were clearly at the community level, and some of those interests were clearly at the level of the hospital or the community health care surge capacity or preparedness or readiness in general.
So, we began in our office to begin looking at what did we know, what did people say were the best practices, what did folks say were the requirements for hospital preparedness, again, for all sorts of hazards. I guess pandemic introduces a whole new level of consideration of what constitutes preparedness.
So, we in our office, we started with a literature review in terms of what did the literature say, what did the specialty societies say, and so on, about what constitutes hospital preparedness and what do we know about it. Then we proceeded to some further work.
GAO, I think as Bill said and as Cindy said, has undertaken a study to look at performance measurement and so on in the preparedness areas as well. We shared our papers with them.
We are continuing to look at, in our office we sponsored some questions added to the survey you will be hearing from Kathy and Rick in a minute. It is their survey of emergency departments, and we supported some questions a couple of years ago now, I think it was, on emergency preparedness in hospitals. We are probably looking to do an update or at least expand that as well.
So, there are a lot of activities in these areas. There are a lot of ways of sort of testing preparedness. I mean, some folks like tabletops, some folks like exercises, some folks like the certification route, and then there is the survey route.
We have had other activities in HHS. Within our hospital preparedness program -- I think we have those folks on the line as well -- these are cooperative grants to states for hospital preparedness, and they hava collected some data as well.
I think we are kind of looking at how can we pull this all together in a systematic meaningful well without over-burdening folks, to kind of get a good sense of, are there measures we can use, are there standards we should look at.
Are there approaches, perhaps certification process or others, where there is data available, as Kevin said, that the department and all of you can rely on and pull together to kind of give us, when we take stock on this where we are periodically, what kind of data could we use.
That was what prompted, I think, our request to the committee. The committee, as usual, put together a very capable group of experts, and we are looking forward to the discussion today.
DR. VIGILANTE: Thanks, Jim. Rick and Kathy, do you want to dive in?
Agenda Item: Panel One - Federal Perspective. Ongoing Federal Surveys and Available Data.
DR. BURT: Thanks. Both Rick and I work on the National Hospital Ambulatory Medical Care Survey, which is a survey, an annual representative survey of non-federal general and short-stay hospitals.
It excludes military, federal, VA types of hospitals. We have a sample of about 700 hospitals that we are going to be talking about as the data base today.
Primarily we are going to be talking about two facility supplements that were added to these hospital surveys, which is primarily a survey of visits to emergency departments and outpatient departments.
We added extra facility questions on staffing capacity and ambulance diversion, and on bioterrorism and mass casualty preparedness, the latter being funded by ASPE.
These were done in 2003-2004. The data were collected over two years. From that sample we also have the visit data for over 76,000 encounters.
The response rate for that survey was 85 percent. There are adjustments on the weighting process to account for non-response and to weight up to national annual estimates.
So, our frame, which is the Verispan hospital market base, has about 5,100 total non-federal hospitals. That is short stay hospitals and general hospitals, including childrens general hospitals.
When we surveyed them, we found that about 92 percent of them had emergency departments, and about four percent had no emergency department but did have outpatient services, and another four percent had no outpatient or emergency room. So, we will be talking primarily about the 92 percent of hospitals that do have an emergency department.
This is the distribution of these hospitals by the four major census regions. About 68 percent are in the south and the midwest.
The civilian population has very similar percentages of people in those locales. It is a different story when it comes to MSA areas. Thirty-eight percent of hospitals are in non-metro areas, but only 16 percent of the population is in those areas.
So, what happens is that the metro hospitals tend to be bigger hospitals. There are a lot more beds, a lot more emergency department stuff.
Unfortunately, the demand on emergency departments has been increasing over the last 10 years, whereas the number of emergency departments that were operating actually declined, which means that any one emergency department, especially in metro areas, was seeing more and more cases.
The IOM, in their reports, the three volume reports that came out last June, clearly indicate all the problems with crowding in emergency departments.
In metro areas, about 64 percent of the EDs experienced some form of crowding during the year. Now, we defined crowding as either having an ambulance diversion period, where you send ambulances away to other hospitals, they don't let them come, or greater than three percent of the ED patients left before being seen by a physician or other health care provider, or that the average waiting time for urgent cases was greater than 60 minutes.
Larger hospitals are more likely to experience crowding. Therefore, even though 64 percent of metro hospitals experienced crowding, that results in 84 percent of the visits in those areas going to hospitals that experience crowding.
So, one of the problems with crowding is this problem of ambulance diversions. This shows that, of the metro hospitals, only about a third don't do any ambulance diversions.
That doesn't mean that they don't want to do ambulance diversions. There is a fair percent that are not allowed to divert any ambulances away.
You can see there is a small set of metro EDs that have quite a bit of their time, up to 20 percent of their time, on diversion.
The metro areas in 2003-2004 had about 400 hours each year in diversion status, which resulted in about 500,000 ambulances being diverted away from the closest emergency room, and that results in about one per minute.
The leading reasons were the lack of inpatient beds and the number of ED patients. So, these are equally responsible for most of the diversions that occur.
So, it is not just an ED problem. It is a hospital problem, and this is well documented. This particular chart -- by the way, we have these two reports over here, if you would like to see them, some of these charts are coming out of these reports.
This particular chart shows that, among the EDs in metro areas that had as much as 20 percent of their time on diversion, that they also tended, on average, to be the large volume hospitals as it relates to bed size.
Their mean was about 311 beds, and their occupancy rate was, on average, 81 percent. Now someone mentioned about cutting -- about the expense being more efficient, so some hospitals got rid of their excess capacity. They do this by closing down beds and having higher occupancy rates than they maybe used to have, which leads to some waste.
So, hospitals that had no ambulance diversions, down in the bottom left-hand corner, on average their bed side was small, their occupancy rate is only about 60 percent.
So, what kind of measures do we have? These reports go into all kinds of details about what kinds of services the emergency rooms provide, their staffing, their space.
One of the questions we asked was about the number of treatment spaces. So, when we weight that up to a national total, there are 65,700 ED treatment spaces nationally. This, of course, was 2003-2004, which was about 14.6 per ED, but we know there is great variation across EDs.
Population-wise, it turns out to be 2.3 per 10,000 persons. Most ED visits lasts about -- the treatment lasts about two hours in general. If it is serious and people are being admitted, it is going to last longer than that, about three hours, and that doesn't include the waiting time outside.
We asked about whether they recently expanded the space, and 16 percent of EDs said that they had, within the last two years, expanded their number of treatment spaces, and 32 percent said they intended to expand them within the next two years.
So, this is 2007. In theory, those 32 percent have already expanded their treatment spaces. So, hopefully these numbers are higher now than they were back then.
The midwest has a higher spaces per capita. I went by it pretty quickly, but we have in general more hospitals relative to the population in the midwest than we do in other regions, and they also, therefore, have more ED capability.
In terms of inpatient beds per population, it weights up to 614,000 staffed inpatient beds nationally, which is about 137 per hospital with an ED, and that corresponds to about 21.4 per 10,000 persons in the population.
Again, the midwest has a higher per capita rate compared to the south and the west. So, getting these numbers and sort of weighting them up to national totals, I am not sure if that is a useful metric or not, but we thought it could be used for modeling how many you may need or the impact of expected different scenarios.
Like in a pandemic, how many is it likely to affect and then you can see what the rate per population is, and you will know how bad off you are going to be in terms of providing hospital care for them. Rick is going to go ahead and talk a little bit more about our bioterrorism supplement.
DR. NISKA: The data that I am going to show you are from the supplements that had to do with the national hospital ambulatory medical care survey, the bioterrorism and mass casualty supplement.
I pulled out some of the stuff that had to do with surge capacity specifically, and there were several questions we asked.
These questions were basically asking hospitals to describe their mass casualty emergency response plan, were these issues dealt with in that plan.
We found that 73 percent of hospitals, actually a pretty good number, had some sort of policy on cancellation of elective procedures and admissions, so that you could deal with whatever was coming in requiring emergency treatment or possibly surgery in the case of an explosive or type or other trauma casualties.
Sixty-five percent had the establishment of an alternate care site, in other words, something outside of the usual emergency department. It might be a tent set up on the hospital grounds, it might be other areas of the hospital.
About 16 percent had back up plans in writing for medical utilization of non-clinical space. To translate that into English, that might be lining the hallways or using other areas of the hospital for dealing with patients who were not seriously injured but, nevertheless, needed to be evaluated and dealt with in some way. So, utilizing that non-clinical space.
Only half of the hospitals had actual memoranda of understanding, written agreements, with outlying hospitals to accept inpatients during a declared disaster.
The interesting thing, and what I didn't show you on this graph, was that many of the hospitals, something in the 80 percent range, had actual plans that dealt with people coming in that needed to be dealt with, but there was a big disparity between the plans and the actual memorandum of understanding, meaning that we could actually send patients to these hospitals. So, only half could do that.
About 45 percent had plans for stockpiling antibiotics and supplies. Now, how you view this, some people may say this is great that so many hospitals have these in place, especially the stockpiles, rather than depending on the CDC stockpile.
You could look at it a little bit more pessimistically by saying, we really need to ramp this up, that more hospitals could be doing more. I will leave that to the higher thinkers than I.
These last two issues, I actually stratified these on several variables, but urban rural issues corresponding to the MSA/non-MSA group seems to come up in discussions quite a bit, how many resources should we divert to urban areas, and should we leave the rural areas uncovered or should we deal with them aggressively as well.
For these, such techniques as converting the post-anesthesia care unit to be an intensive care unit essentially, you can see that about 40 percent of hospitals overall, but there is a big urban rural difference there. It was more likely to be done in urban hospitals, and about half or a quarter of rural hospitals, and that was fairly significant.
The other thing was activating unused space. This isn't just lining people in the halls. This is actually opening up decommissioned board space that is available to be used if you had the staffing and you had the equipment. In other words, actually increasing the capacity of the hospital space that was originally designed, but is not now, being used for clinical care. Only about a little less than a third had plans for doing that and, again, the urban areas were much more likely to do that then the rural areas.
I looked at the question that we had about the national disaster medical system. Basically, the responders were hospital administrators or they were the bioterrorism coordinators or somebody who was in charge in that hospital of coming up with emergency plans.
We asked the hospitals if they were hooked into the national disaster medical system, in other words, were they designed to receive patients during the NDMS.
If you remember the previous slide about the MOUs, where you refer people out and hopefully somebody at a higher level of care will take them.
What was interesting to me was not so much that only about a third were designated to receive patients through NDMS, again, with a bit of an urban rural split there, but the third column, which is how many hospitals actually didn't know whether they were designed or not.
Now, I asked people about that, and some of the ideas that we didn't actually ask about in the survey but might serve as trying to figure out why this occurs is that some of these hospitals may have been designed at NDMS hospitals and then, with mergers and selling of hospitals and being bought up, it just kind of went by the wayside.
Maybe the hospital had never been utilized as an NDMS hospital and the people just kind of forgot that they were designated. That is a possibility. That is speculation as far as this survey goes, but I thought it was really interesting, that a third of the hospitals and a little less than half of the rural hospitals did not know their NDMS status, whether or not they were designated or not.
This is actually -- this has to do with availability of resources, critical care beds, ventilators, negative pressure, isolation rooms, personal protective suits, and decontamination showers.
Some of the questions that I have gotten that I haven't published yet but people are always interested in national estimates about how many we have in total, so I will show you a slide having to do with that.
Again, a big urban rural split between just the sheer number of critical care beds per hospital, about 21 on the average, about 29 critical care beds in urban hospitals and only six in rural hospitals.
The same trend goes for -- actually, it is not a trend, these are significant differences at the .01 and less level -- mechanical ventilators, again, about 12 mechanical ventilators per hospital.
Negative pressure isolation rooms -- this actually surprised me because maybe I have dealt with a lot of rural hospitals in my time and have seen fewer negative pressure isolation rooms, but there are actually seven per hospital on the average, in rural areas about three.
I couldn't fail to note, the last time I was doing temporary duty at the Indian Health Service hospital I go to, which is an urban hospital in the southwest, that there was actually a negative pressure isolation room in the actual emergency department. So, I was pleased to see that.
Personal protection, just having the PPS available, now we didn't ask what type of suits, whether it was a full PAPRS with the self contained respirators and all of that, or just the suit that you can throw on to protect yourself about chemical splashes. We just asked about personal protective suits, and this is what we found. About 14 suits per hospital were available for such things as chemical casualties coming in.
Decontamination showers, I don't think this is statistically significant, but there are one or two showers per hospital.
Now, what we didn't ask, and it might be interesting if we do this again, is to see how many were multiplace decontamination showers versus a single room with a single shower head, and also if people or hospitals have plans for actually setting these up.
I remember talking to some folks from an area hospital here in D.C., that they actually had a plan to set these up in the alley-ways before people get into the emergency rooms so they can do the chemical decon before they come in. So, maybe we need to ask about creative ideas like that if we do this again.
Okay, I split the data a little bit differently to look at nationwide totals. If you want to know how many critical care beds we have in the nation, there are about 97,500, and so forth, for mechanical ventilators, negative pressure isolation rooms, et cetera.
I would like to emphasize that we do a nationally representative survey with a complex sample design that allows us to make national estimates. So, these would be fairly good for planning, as Dr. Burt mentioned, in terms of modeling disaster scenarios, how many nationwide beds we have, say, for a pandemic flu situation that would affect the entire nation.
Then we split it. Kathy, actually she did the work on this, to split this out per 10,000 population, the critical care beds, and we only have about three critical care beds per 10,000 people, which is fine usually but maybe not in a pandemic situation, or mass casualty, about two mechanical ventilators per 10,000 population, only one negative pressure isolation room per 10,000 population, not too many personal protective suit. Well, I guess that has to do more with the hospital staff, but again, only about actually one decontamination shower per 30,000 on the average.
So, some conclusions from the work. We observed that crowding in the EDs at present limits our ability to handle an influx of cases.
The IOM report was excellent in pointing this out, and it is really something that has been bandied about in the emergency medicine literature and practical practice for years, the fact that EDs are crowded and we wonder what would happen, if they are already crowded, what are we going to do during mass casualty situations or mass epidemics.
There is an observed disparity across the regions in their ability to handle a surge due to natural or manmade disasters.
We saw that the midwest and the northeast tend to do a little bit better. I think Kathy may have emphasized the midwest because that may have been the statistically significant part.
Surge capacity planning for specific elements is found in only a quarter to three quarters of the hospitals depending on what you are looking at. So, that can certainly be done better.
We saw an observed disparity favoring urban hospitals in both emergency planning, having things actually written down in the plan, and available resources, things to actually manage these emergencies.
I think that was our last slide. So, I will just leave that up. I don't know if we are doing questions now or later.
MR. J. SCANLON: One question. You show the average number, the mean number. Do you have a distribution? It would be good to know the percentage of hospitals that have none or one or two on the scale. Do you remember that data?
DR. NISKA: We haven't analyzed it that way, but there is no reason why we couldn't. It is a continuous variable. We could put them into bands and see how that goes.
DR. BOENNING: Could one conclude that hospitals currently do not have surge capacity?
DR. NISKA: That sounds like some of the questions you get from reporters sometimes, are we prepared or are we not, and we wonder what the implications of that are going to be.
Again, it depends on how you look at it and what you are preparing for. You know, I guess it is kind of good that almost three quarters of hospitals can cancel their elective cases and so forth, but if you are more of a pessimist you should say, well, hospitals should be able to do that routinely because they always bump cases for traumas come in and why are only 73 percent.
I think we could do better. This is 2003-2004 data. We have a few cases in 2005 which we haven't looked at yet, which we can certainly do as we crank out these papers and everything.
I think we could do a better job and hopefully this data will help us plan on a national level. I used to be with the hospital bioterrorism preparedness program which provides grants or cooperative agreements to states and territories to try to manage this stuff. Hopefully data like this can help plan this in a more focused fashion.
I don't know if we are prepared or not. We are somewhat better prepared, but we could do better, would be the short answer.
DR. KELLERMAN: Two related questions. One is that a lot of this information is self reported survey data. Do you have any independent validation that some of these numbers that are reported are, in fact, real numbers, given that there is a pretty strong social desirability or bias to report issues.
Second, you mentioned that the survey data was sort of 2003-2004, and we are well into 2007 now. Do you have any trend data to suggest that we are doing better or worse, for example, with things like ambulance diversion, and that statistic, which the media really picked up and reported pretty regularly, of half million ambulances a year. Is that getting worse or is that getting better?
DR. BURT: Well, I will answer your second question first, which I think you already know the answer to, because I told you.
We did ask, in 2005, we asked hospitals to tell us about their ambulance diversions. We started asking in 2003 and, since 2003, our percent missing the information has been increasing to a point such that we cannot publish anything from 2005 on ambulance diversions because 50 percent of the hospitals didn't tell us the answer to that question. In 2002-2003 they did.
DR. KELLERMAN: I set her up for that. She didn't know I was going to do that, but it is concerning to me that, both from the perspective of social desirability bias and self reporting, that if hospitals aren't sharing that data on something that fundamentally important to readiness and preparedness, I think that has implications for the rest of our discussion over the course of the afternoon about what we are going to do and what we are going to measure.
I can't interpret it because I wasn't there and none of us were, when individual institutions answered. Either they are not tracking the stat, which would worry me, or they don't want us to know the stat, which worries me even more.
DR. BENTLEY: Or, Arthur, this building and the people in it have proposed cutting medicare payments by billions of dollars, proposed cutting medicaid payments by billions of dollars, proposed cutting hospital bioterrorism preparedness by millions of dollars, and you ask yourself why it is that hospitals don't want to answer surveys, whether it is from HHS or whether it is from us or whether it is from the Emergency Medical Physicians Association.
Two thirds of hospitals don't make money on patient care. One third of hospitals are losing money in total, all money.
You take that data. You say, every dollar that gets spent answering a question, and now there is a new plan to go out and require the plan to daily report its supply of blood on hand as opposed to relying on the AABB and the Red Cross.
We are simply getting back from our members that they don't have the resources to respond to the increasing and ever present demands of people who want data on this, that and the other thing and be able to care for patients in their community. You have a choice. Every dollar that goes in to data collection doesn't go into caring for patients.
DR. VIGILANTE: I think that is part of, frankly, the mission of this hearing, is really to understand as well the burden of reporting, because it does affect the quality of the data that we get. I think it is something that we are going to be purposefully exploring.
DR. BENTLEY: One last comment? There was a survey done, and maybe Melissa can tell us, because I think she is on the phone, that I think it was your firm designed. Booz-Allen Hamilton designed it, went out to hospitals collecting data, came back in, and our best understanding -- somebody can correct me if I am wrong -- is OMB is still sitting on that data and has not released it.
If you want to collect data, you want to motivate physicians, hospitals, anybody to submit those data, you can't collect it and never release it and never do anything with it.
DR. AUF DER HEIDE: I think a corollary to that is that you shouldn't be collecting data unless you can specify what is going to be done with it.
You know, we have had a history in recent times at the federal level of making all kinds of reports and collecting all kinds of data and nothing ever results from it. I think that is an important aspect of this whole scenario.
DR. SANDERS: Jim, you are right, and Sally Phillips actually has more background on the reason why that data -- it has to be reported back in a certain way.
DR. PHILLIPS: You are right, that survey was fielded now I believe almost two years ago and we are still trying to figure out how to get that data back to the state level so that they can filter that down to their hospitals. I think what has been said here has been adequate, unless you want me to go into more detail. I can.
DR. SHULER: I had hoped to be here with Melissa Sanders, but it turns out I am here instead of her and she is on the phone.
I don't have the answers to all the issues that have been raised, but there are a couple of comments that I would like to make.
For starters, we have a lot of work to do on our data, but I think we have got some data that are more recent than what you have seen here, and which would present a slightly different picture.
There has been a lot of learning and growing in this program over the last few years. Some of the data that I have seen from 2003-2004 reflects, I think, at least the data that we have an inability on the part of the states and hospitals to answer the questions, and I have seen that get a lot better over the years. I think we are asking the questions better now and getting better answers.
Secondly, some of these data were collected several years ago before there was a large increase in the amount of funding for the national hospital bioterrorism program.
I do know for sure that we could present more recent data on, for example, decontamination expenditures, personal protective equipment, and things like that, which there has been a lot of investment in those things over the last few years.
As I said, we have got a lot of work to do on our data. As we have been growing and changing over the last few years, we have changed the questions that we have asked a lot.
Consequently, we don't have the ability to show you year to year change on quite a few things, because some of these questions haven't even been asked for two consecutive years.
We are moving in that direction. We are creating a system. We are planning to do a lot more analysis of data and make the data available as appropriate for decision making, and we collect it twice a year.
DR. GREEN: A question for Katherine, Richard and possibly Art Kellerman. What is your opinion about the value of a distance to care measure? Secondly, do you have any data about distance to emergency care?
DR. BURT: Well, we have the capability of doing distance to emergency care but, based on the zip code of where the patient resides and the zip code of the emergency department. Of course, not everybody comes from home. So, we haven't done a lot with it.
DR. GREEN: Is it your opinion that it really doesn't pay off? It is not of great value?
DR. BURT: The stuff in our data set, the only distance measure we have would be from median zip code to sort of median zip code, and it would only be from the residence.
We do have a statistic somewhere about where they came from. No, no, I don't think we do. So, we don't know where they were when they decided they had to come to the emergency room.
In that regard, I am not sure that what we have is useful. We would have to ask a different question a different way which probably is not in the medical record and, for our survey, if it is not in the medical record, we don't get it.
DR. HANFLING: I want to thank you for an excellent presentation but I want to go back to Art Kellerman's point. I think, relevant to the discussion for the rest of the afternoon, we should be able to distinguish between prospective data collection ala ambulance diversion and what I call situational awareness or the ability to create real time or near real time situational awareness, which is going to be very critical for figuring out some of the issues around surge capacity limitations that your retrospective data has demonstrated.
I think it is important to distinguish the two. Then the question is, in the data tool that you use, was there any assessment at all in terms of either on a regional or a state level what sort of real time situational awareness capabilities were in place at that time?
DR. BURT: We did not ask those questions. The ambulance diversion data in 2002-2003, part of that supplement, it wasn't just a single question.
We had them track and write down prospectively every single diversion episode, which is a costly thing for a hospital to do. We don't pay them anything to answer our questions.
It gave us better data than just asking a single question, but we didn't ask about real time, do you have the ability to tell me immediately how many beds are vacant.
Now, in our 2007 survey we are asking some questions on that order, about how often do they do their census, is it only once a day, is it twice a day, is it real time, that kind of thing.
DR. HANFLING: I would suggest -- I would be interested in Jim's sense of this -- but the ability to conduct that sort of real time surveillance really may be protective to health care facilities ultimately in terms of being able to forecast what may be coming.
In the context of trying to -- not trying to sort of create mandates and throw a whole lot of money down a rabbit hole, this may still be an area -- and I think hopefully at least in the context of when I give my presentation -- try to hit on why this is a worthwhile investment. The question is, whose investment.
DR. BOENNING: I hope we get into it more in the second panel and we also have representatives here from the Maryland state system, who have a state system named FRED, I believe, that keeps track of daily bed availability.
DR. NISKA: What would be interesting in terms of future data collection is to tie it to the requirements of both the CDC and the HRSA guidances on bioterrorism.
One might be that real time surveillance, how many emergency departments are actually hooked up directly to the health department where they can feed data directly, so that you get more of a real time surveillance versus the usual surveillance which is retrospective monthly reporting sort of thing.
DR. GAMACHE: I just had a couple of quick comments from the data. Before I went back into informatics, I ran the public health department's bioterrorism preparedness program.
On the stockpile issue, at the time, communities were asked not to do that, because really it was a capacity issue with the antibiotics and getting enough there for the S and S, never mind for individual stockpiles.
That was around the time when it just started to change. So, having 45 percent, I think, at that time frame is really quite good and I think it is a lot better now.
I think in the future also some of these hospitals realize they can't handle that inventory management part of it. So, they are actually getting collaboration with other facilities.
So, the hospital itself may not have it. The community may have it or it may be part of a partnership. I don't know how you design a question that is going to look at the community perspective on that.
Also, on the PPE, the same thing has been done where a lot of that is now done by the state homeland security or the state emergency management, or they manage the PPE or the decon part of it beforehand, and the hospitals are collaborating with that.
So, the hospitals themselves may not have it, but it may be part of the community plan. I think it makes doing the surveys in the future much more complicated, because not everyone has done this the same way, but they have tried to do it more so that they are combining and coordinating their resources much more effectively than when they first started this program.
I think it is quite a hard thing to do these surveys. I am not trying to get at that, but I think in the future it is going to be hard to figure out how to do these surveys just focusing on one area.
DR. NISKA: When I was first writing up these data, just because of my institutional memory of how fast the funding got out for hospital preparedness, et cetera, I made the point in at least some of these papers that this really represents baseline data, because even though we got the funding rapidly out to states in 2002-2003, that didn't necessarily translate to states getting it out to individual hospitals.
So, I made the point that the 2003-2004 -- actually, in essence, it is not a precise cut or anything, but it in essence represents what our baseline status is before all of this federal intervention came in.
So, it would be fascinating to see what the follow up data that HRSA has, I would love to see that study see the light of day, partly to address Dr. Kellerman's thing about response bias or social good bias -- I forget the term you used -- but that people are responding one way to the grant making people and another way to NCHS, which really doesn't provide them their grants.
That would be interesting in terms of a comparison, and also just seeing what has happened since the money did eventually make it to hospitals and people have been working on their programs.
MR. J. SCANLON: Number one, I am not sure which side would be the more correct. I think that is why we are asking you to think about what are the best measures and approaches.
I did want to ask, are there standards at hospitals to maintain accreditation or become designated in certain ways, that have already been agreed to, best practices or standards that constitute preparedness, and is that the basis that you based the questions on, or was it expert opinion?
DR. BURT: It was all of that, but yes, JAHCO has specific requirements for what the hospital has to have in their emergency response plan.
So, our questions along those lines were based totally on the JAHCO requirements. The things that weren't part of the requirements were based on expert opinion from the Secretary's office and HRSA and other places all over.
MR. J. SCANLON: But isn't that, in the spirit of reducing the burden, if there is administrative or accreditational data available, not so much on individual facilities, but at least in a statistical sense, isn't that another way.
If JAHCO or others have statistics on the number of hospitals that have passed or are in conformance with these standards, even on a statistical anonymized basis, that would be useful to know as well. I just don't know.
DR. BURT: I don't know the extent of their accreditation, that they have to physically go and check everything. Are they actually reading the response plans.
To answer our first question, we didn't ask to see their response plans. We just asked them the questions. Does your response plan contain, and they said either yes or no.
Now, they could say yes and it could be no. I don't know what JAHCO does, but not all the hospitals are accredited.
We did find that hospitals that weren't accredited were less likely to have done the drilling and the training that is sort of implied that should be done every year to be ready.
MR. J. SCANLON: Is the JAHCO process kind of a self assessment or are there visitors and an independent --
DR. BENTLEY: Let me answer a couple of questions. There are basically two ways that hospitals get accredited. An accreditation has two purposes. One is to participate in medicare and medicaid. A second, prior to medicare and medicaid, is just simply as a good housekeeping seal of approval.
MR. J. SCANLON: Standard of quality, standard of care.
DR. BENTLEY: Because of medicare and medicaid, you are either accredited by the JAHCO or, if you are an osteopathic hospital, by the American Osteopathic Association, or you are accredited by a state agency. Particularly when you get to the smaller hospitals, it tends to be by the state agency.
If you look at the JAHCO accreditation standards in this area, what they require -- and it makes it real difficult for people in this building trying to do preparedness planning -- they require, as a very first step, that the hospital go out and assess the likely process -- called the hazard vulnerability analysis -- in its community.
So, if you are in Richmond, Virginia, at the top of that list is going to be chemicals. If you are in Norfolk, Virginia, at the top of that list is going to be naval munitions.
That is the most likely cause of a major incident. If you are next to a nuclear power plant, you are going to have that as your major concern.
So, part of the data collection difficulty JAHCO faces is that it is driven off, what is your likely problem or likely problems, in a probability sense and in an impact sense.
Then you design a range of plans that cover hopefully a whole set of incidents, but focused primarily on the most likely ones.
So, it is very hard for them to go abstract and say, okay, we are going to take the response plans for Richmond and match them up, say, against Chapel Hill, North Carolina. They should be different and they will be different.
What you can say is, they have a plan, JAHCO has reviewed it, they have done two exercises a year, one based on an internal incident, one based on an external incident, but that isn't the kind of detail that this survey has historically looked at.
DR. MARCOZZI: With all deference to my colleague from the AHA, I am from Duke University. You mentioned Chapel Hill, so I have to come to the table now.
I find the discussion pretty interesting. I am Dave Marcozzi from the ASPRS office, previously OFEC, renamed in the pandemic and all hazard preparedness act.
The discussion really ranges from the tactical level about how is the survey conducted and whether or not it is practical to do a policy of the kind we are discussing, the breadth of that, that is really challenging and I find that pretty interesting.
I just want to try to align some of the arrows. I would suggest and encourage all of us take a look at the bill that was recently passed back in the December, that actually had the AHA's support, that kind of repositioned and tried to take a unifying strategy from the states and hospitals to their preparedness grants and cooperative agreements and submitting them to HHS.
Then, from HHS, submitting the same parameters to congress every four years in what is being coined, the national health security strategy.
In addition, this is a very interesting discussion about, really, situational awareness, which is another mandate within the bill.
It mandates in the bill, number one, a situational awareness capacity similar to biosense, that looks at mitigating an event and, in addition, the management of that event.
That management of that event certainly impacts what we are discussing here with regard to surge capacity. So, the pandemic and all hazard preparedness act at least took a step to try and align the arrows in our discussion today. So, I would encourage you guys to take a look at it.
DR. VIGILANTE: Rick and Katherine, thank you very much. It was a great presentation. We appreciate the effort. Terry, you are up next.
[Brief recess.]
We are going to move Dan up here.
Agenda Item: Regional Trauma Center Preparedness and HAvBED.
DR. HANFLING: I appreciate the opportunity to be here. I will try to focus my remarks around situational awareness in real time, or near real time, medical situational awareness.
It is funny to be here today in the immediate aftermath of this ice storm that I know affected some folks more than others.
When I think about surge capacity, the ice storm of 1999, which the media has been talking about a lot the last 24 hours or so, we had an unbelievable onslaught of patients with mostly fractured extremities, from that event.
When I turned to the hospital administrator and I said, we are going to open up in our new atrium, he said, oh, no, you are not. I said, oh, yes, we are.
We basically instituted a real time surge capacity plan right there and then that allowed us essentially an additional 20 beds in a space that was, until that point in time, sort of public space in the hospital. It is just, I guess, ironic that we are talking about surge capacity here today.
So, let me focus on situational awareness. I think it really provides the ability for hospitals to make the choices that need to be made in the context of an immediate uptick in demand for patient care.
I think that it also helps us with understanding some of the more complex issues, as Jim Bentley and I talked about earlier this week, regarding the implementation of altered standards of care, which also figures into the discussion around surge capacity.
When I think about the kind of things that we talk about with regard to responding to a surge in demand for care, we are either going to have to be able to estimate the demand and then calibrate the supply, or we are going to have to increase the supply, and that may just be a matter of improving distribution, or we are going to have to scrap the system and create something completely different.
So, from a surge capacity perspective looking forward now, situational awareness is really going to be critical for us to be able to manage these sorts of events.
If we don't, we are going to be closed for business, and I think that is a point that I would emphasize over and over again and, again, as was mentioned in the beginning remarks, Katrina shows us where, in the most critical of circumstances, this affected health care and the delivery of health care, and continues to, to this time.
So, some of the questions from the committee, what data is needed, how can that data that already exists be shared or how can information about hospital capabilities become available in a real time format, I think those are all legitimate questions.
I am not sure I am going to give you the answers, but I will try to point you at least down that road.
When I think about the data that are needed and how they are best obtained, really what I am trying to figure out is, where are the patients and where are the resources to manage those patients. For me, it is as simple as that.
Again, based on very real experience, when we look back five years ago to the 9-11 response here across the river in Arlington, Virginia, Anova Fairfax Hospital, which is the level one trauma center in Northern Virginia, received zero patients from that event.
This comes out of the Arlington County After Action report. Why was that? Well, there was an absolute fundamental lack of situational awareness in real time around where the available resources were, i.e., trauma resources in this case, versus where the patients ended up.
This speaks to much deeper broader issues that probably go beyond the focus of this group, but clearly, situational awareness will go a long way toward matching available resources, available medical resources, to patient needs.
I think that is really critical because, there lives are hanging in the balance, basically. Although we don't think that there was a significant adverse outcome with regard to those patients who were then secondarily triaged, the next time around we may not have those opportunities. These may be bigger events, they may be more wide scale or they may be more sustained. So, it is important to match those resources.
I don't have a slide to talk about anthrax, but when we talk about sustained events, like the biological attack or emerging infectious disease, this becomes even more critical, because these events start slowly and then continue and plateau over a period of time.
There you really want to have an idea of where you are able to move patients based on available resources. Again, going back five years, you recall the events started here, just up the hill.
Three of the five patients in the national capital region came to northern Virginia hospitals, two of them my hospital, and yet this was, at the outset, a D.C. event. So, situation awareness is critically important.
Some of the efforts that we have put in place in northern Virginia to address this has been what is now five years on a fairly sophisticated coordination of all the regional hospitals -- all the hospitals, I should say, within our northern Virginia region, under the HRSA division.
So, the state of Virginia is split into six different regions for HRSA grant delivery. The northern Virginia region has created this framework around the integration of all the emergency response disciplines and then the hospitals specifically, in what we call the Northern Virginia Hospital Alliance, is integrated under our regional hospital coordinating center.
So, we have created now a format for regional health care coordination and cooperation that addresses a number of the points that were asked in Rick's survey about MOUs and so forth.
In addition, we have put in place an information management platform and a communications capability that really links us together.
This regional hospital coordinating center is a concept actually that I took to the state just immediately after 9-11 and said, you know, we really need to create this regional clearinghouse.
Truth be told, I borrowed very, very selfishly, I guess, from a concept that was already in place in the state of Maryland, in the context of the Maryland Institute for Emergency Medical Services, a real systemwide and statewide system, as well as from the D.C hospital association, which had also put in place at least a communications tool.
We took this to the next level and actually were able to put this in place across the state of Virginia. in Northern Virginia, I would posit to you, we probably have taken this the farthest down the road toward really integrating this health care coordinating function.
What does that look like? Well, we talked about ambulance diversion as sort of the lead in to some of this discussion.
When I was the medical director for Fairfax County fire and rescue starting in 1998 we were in the throes of an ambulance diversion crisis here.
I was quoted as saying that ambulances were circling the beltway, even though I didn't say that. That is how it came across in the press.
The fact is that we needed to get some real time situational awareness in terms of where we could safely send patients and not have emergency departments put up the barrier and say, we can't take them.
In fact, we put in place what was initially a fax-based system that then became an internet based system, that we purchased from a vendor.
After 9-11, all of a sudden, there was a lot of interest focused on this, and communities across the country were putting in ambulance diversion systems, and there are a couple of big vendors who have done that.
Well, what was very interesting was that we had, in northern Virginia, one vendor. The rest of the state of Virginia had another vendor for all the other 60 hospitals across the state of Virginia.
You know, I felt pretty strongly that the vendor who I had selected back in the late 1990s was doing a good job for us and I said, it should be more than just the commercial interests of a vendor and having to kowtow toward well, these guys have a bigger slice of the pie and we are going to move to them.
We began to talk about the need to create standards for information exchange, basically. So, in combination with the fact that we had a system in northern Virginia, the rest of the state of Virginia had a different system, and then my colleagues, John Donahue amongst them, representing the state of Maryland, had another completely sophisticated, very well honed system, we really began to have the discussions around how to coordinate the creation of those standards. In doing that, essentially there came an understanding that we needed to move this forward.
Now, I will digress for a second because some of you may be familiar with this slide. This comes out of the medical surge capacity and capability project that was done here in the office of emergency preparedness.
Essentially, you know, what this highlights -- and put the red arrows there in, those are my arrows, the rest of the slide comes out of the book -- but the fact that, from my perspective, we really need to focus on coordinating the hospital, which is at the very bottom or tier one, to the coalition of hospitals or other health care providers, which is at tier two, and then to the state level, which is really tier three, which is sort of jurisdiction.
It is actually pre-state, but jurisdictional incident management, and then you get the state sort of looking down.
So, from a conceptual framework, I think that this is useful and may be useful as discussion continues forward around these issues, at least in terms of theoretically laying this out.
Now, how can hospital capability information become available in real time? Out of the discussions that we had in northern Virginia with the MIMS folks in Maryland, with the D.C. hospital association and then with Richmond and the Virginia department of health, we essentially worked toward trying to figure out how to create those standards.
Actually, credit to Sally Phillips and AHRQ, who took this up at a national level and basically funded this HAvBED project, the origins of which, actually in part, came out of discussions that we started here in the national capital region.
So, I will show you that in a second. What I won't show you is the other key area of real time situational information acquisition that I think is critically important, and that is in the real of patient tracking and I think, again, alluded to in the introductory comments in regard to what happened in Louisiana, Mississippi and os on, but particularly in New Orleans.
Where were the patients, where did they go and how do we get a sense of that. That becomes critical information different from bed availability.
These slides from my colleagues, Steve Cantrell at Denver Health, which highlights essentially where the project is right now, this HAvBED project, essentially here you see a map of the United States.
You can actually scroll down by FEMA, NDMS regions or by other regions, geographic regions, if you will, which I think you can see listed here.
Here we are looking at the northwest and, if we hone down further, we are looking at the state of Washington and, within the state of Washington, Seattle.
Within Seattle, it is hard to pick up, but there are green dots that represent where the hospitals are and then you can cone in and, actually, for any given state or city or region or so on, based on voluntary reporting of this information, at this point in time, you can get a sense of available beds as defined by the currently accepted now NDMS categories for beds, which are listed here, ICU, med/surg, burn, pediatric ICU, psychiatric, negative pressure, operating rooms and so on.
Then you could actually scroll down and you could look at each individual health care facility to identify the information resident in each individual facility.
DR. BOENNING: Dan, how often is that updated?
DR. HANFLING: Here are the issues with that. It is a voluntary system right now. I showed Seattle so that I could talk about it without having to share with you the difficulties that we have in northern Virginia, but I am really going to talk to you about our northern Virginia experience.
We actually have just re-upped our regional hospital MOU, our regional emergency operations plan for hospital response, if you will, in which we have now gotten the buy in of our board of directors, who are our 13 hospital CEOs, to actually have our health care facilities update on a once per shift basis.
Now, we know that the compliance with that will be poor at first, but I think it represents a huge step forward for us, to have commitment of our administrative leadership. I mean, we are talking about CEOs of all the hospitals in northern Virginia to say that this is important for them because they know ultimately this allows us as a region to protect ourselves and to be able to gauge what it is that we have to deal with going forward into some as yet undefined crisis.
How that is going to play out, I hope I will be able to give you results down the road. I can tell you, going back to Art Kellerman's point, with regard to ambulance diversion, at least in our community, it was such a crisis that we realized we were better off working this out together.
Although we used to say, look, ambulances, they have wheels, hospitals don't have wheels. We are not going to be able to run away when an ambulance comes driving up our ramp.
It is to our mutual benefit to be able to take care of patient needs. So, we have been pretty successful in being able to report that data. It is an open system. So, everyone can see everyone else's availability per se, and then we run reports and, at the regional level, we review that on a monthly basis and so on.
We are hopeful that around some basic information with regard to bed availability and basic resources, that this is going to meet with the same successes.
I put the caveat which is, although you are looking at this from a top down approach, my sense is that it is also important from the bottom up, in terms of being able to make informed decisions with regard to information, to delivery of patient care.
I will finish by suggesting to you again -- some of you have seen these slides before -- if we can't estimate the demand and calibrate the supply, or if we can't calibrate or improve the supply, we may have to just come up with an alternate model for care delivery.
You know, maybe this is kind of just being too cute, but my concern is, on the Y axis we sort of have what I Call echelons of care, which really start at the home and go all the way up to the hospital.
On the X axis it is sort of echelons of contact, how do you get information out. We have been talking up to this point about information for us. We are in the health care sector, we have got to figure out what is going on, but really ultimately we have got to figure out how to get this information to the citizens. We have got to get this out into the community.
I would suggest to you that, if we don't do a whole lot of effort in that realm, we are going to have a lot of peer to peer networking, Aunt Phyllis is going to call Uncle Bob and somebody is going to call Marjorie up the street and Kevin is going to call and say, what do I do. Nobody is going to have good information and they are going to flood hospitals.
I think that that is to our detriment and ultimately puts us at tremendous risk, as we saw in New Orleans.
If we can work out what I call echelons of contact -- that is probably not the best phrase, maybe echelons of communication -- that are incorporative of broader strategies and including, for example, using local AM radio and, at the national level, what I would posit to you is taking advantage of our existing cable networks, our satellite radio and television networks and so on, and getting information out in that manner.
You know, we may do a better job at being able to direct flow and reduce the crush on demand for care where it isn't always necessarily the hospitals that have to deliver that care.
That is kind of an aside, but I think that has to be considered in the context of discussions around assessment of data needs, because ultimately I think the real stakeholders here are our citizenry, who we hope we can give them good information to make informed decisions about where they go.
DR. VIGILANTE: Thanks, Dan. Questions for Dan?
DR. SNYDER: Some of us from NIH had a very good opportunity earlier this week to see the military counterpart of what you just presented.
I just wanted to bring to the committee's attention that it may be useful to involve the military folks, the Department of Defense, at some point as this evolves, to involve them in the discussions.
What they showed in terms of real time data management and capacity to identify in a federal express type manner what is happening with each and every one of their patients, whether it be in the Iraqi theater or elsewhere around the world, is truly remarkable.
What they have developed and what they have actualized, what is operational at this point, is worthy of this committee's attention or considerations.
The other thing I just wanted to bring up is that one of the things that some of us who have actually spent time in New Orleans, either during our careers or visiting in the aftermath of the hurricane, one of the things that we have learned, I think -- and I will give an example -- the universities and academic institutions in that area have expanded the concept of the classroom, physically, geographically, what have you, including using hotel space as university space.
I guess, reasoning by analog, I have yet to hear much in the way of a discussion of concepts of what a hospital bed is, or what an expanded concept of what an emergency department bed is.
There is obviously the concept of hospitals without walls and emergency departments without walls. I am wondering if there isn't a risk of insular thinking here, particularly by those who have vested interests.
I worked in an emergency room for 15 years, but I no longer represent that element of health care. I know some of you do and indeed perhaps have vested interests in emergency departments with walls and hospitals with walls.
I wonder if part of the thinking and part of the discussion should be expanding the concept of what it means to be an emergency department, what it means to control the concept of an emergency bed or a hospital bed, if you will.
DR. HANFLING: First of all, both points are well taken with regard to DOD and their real time capabilities. I think that is worth looking at.
We have had some discussions with DARPA and I have heard that there probably are some opportunities to sort of share from their experience in the real world experience, particularly over the last couple of years.
You know, the model that I put up at the end really, I think, begins to address that point, which is that, on that Y axis there are echelons of entry into the health care system.
I didn't go into it in great detail but, in fact, there has been a lot of discussion around the development of alternate care facilities, and alternate care facilities, in my mind, being different than alternate care sites.
The ice storm of 1999, when I set up 20 beds in our newly minted hospital lobby atrium, that became our alternate care site, and we delivered limb saving orthopedic care right there and then, and we put up -- well, maybe I shouldn't be describing this within this building, but we put up, as best we could, patient privacy barriers and we put in a light box and so on and so forth.
Take that to sort of the grandest level. There has been a lot of discussion and, in fact, AHRQ just recently participated in a project that came out of the office of emergency preparedness here at HHS, looking at the allocation of scarce resources in a mass casualty event, and recognized -- in fact, I was a co-author on a chapter that focused on the whole issue of alternate care facility development.
So, the same way that you talk about hotels being used as school rooms, you know, we have talked about other buildings of opportunity, even possibly hotels, being used to deliver care.
I think that what is interesting is that the common denominator is, if you can set that up in a community -- and there have been some communities that have done some work on this, for example, in upstate New York, the state fair grounds, which Rick Hunt has done a lot of work around creating a surge capacity facility if that was required -- but the bottom line is, you need to integrate them into emergency management.
You need to integrate them into incident management, is really what I am trying to say. One way you do that is by linking the data and linking the real time understanding of what kind of patients are there versus what kind of patients are in the hospitals versus what kinds of patients are still out in the communities. So, this actually I think is very much tied into that expansion of thought around where you deliver care.
DR. AUF DER HEIDE: Could I make a comment kind of expanding on these thoughts? You know, Henry Corentelli, who was the co-founder of the disaster research center and the author of a landmark study of EMS and disasters, made the observation that, in order to do effective disaster preparedness, you really need to take a systems perspective.
I am kind of happy to hear some of the thoughts that are coming out of the discussion just passed because it kind of alludes to that requirement.
There are a couple of observations from a number of field studies and case reports and so on that I think are relevant to this.
One is, just to kind of introduce the concept, really traditionally a lot of our focus on surge capacity has been on hospitals and, to some extent on alternative care facilities.
The aspect of this surge preparedness that seems to be lacking is on the other non-hospital medical facilities in communities, for example, physicians offices, pharmacies, assisted living facilities, dialysis centers, urgent care centers, and so on.
You know, when you look at the epidemiology of disasters, there are a couple of interesting findings. One is that the overwhelming mass of casualties do not have very serious injuries, and many of these injuries could be taken care of in a non-hospital setting.
The other observation which is of interest is the fact that, in a number of recent disasters, the majority of casualties going to hospital emergency departments were not trauma. They were medical cases.
In a substantial number of those, it wasn't people who were injured or made ill in the disaster, but people who had lost access to their routine sources of medical care.
One example, the derailment that occurred up in Missisauga, Ontario, with the chlorine release, that involved the evacuation of 250,000 people and three hospitals and three nursing homes, people evacuated not knowing that they were going to be gone for several days, thinking they were only going to be gone for several hours.
They didn't take their medications with them. Then they couldn't get a hold of their doctors to get them refilled because their doctors had evacuated and the pharmacies had evacuated.
So, I think when we are doing surge capacity we need to think about ways of reuniting people with their routine sources of medical care.
I think we need to talk about making sure that routine sources of medical care can survive and function in a disaster and maybe surge a little bit themselves. If they don't, then their patients are going to end up at the hospital.
One component, along this line, is not only being able to surge, but the aspect of survival, and this is something that can be done before the disaster.
If you have medical facilities built in the flood plain, or if they don't have any back up power, then they are going to become disaster victims and their patients are going to end up at the hospital.
So, I think when we are talking about data collection, we need to take this into consideration. I had provided a handout with some data on this. I don't know if it got circulated, and also a paper on diabetic needs during Hurricane Katrina, which pointed out that there was a prevalence of 11 percent of the population with diabetes, and some of the problems they ran into because they didn't anticipate the needs for people who had evacuated.
So, one of those pieces of information might be what is the prevalence of chronic diseases and ongoing diseases in the community. What kind of resources might you have to provide if people lose access to the routine care for those procedures and how that figures in.
That would include things like what medicines are people taking, how many diabetics so we can talk about insulin and glucometers, how many dialysis patients there are and what alternatives there are to treat them and so on.
I think that kind of broadens the perspective and gives us more of a systems view of what the actual community health care surge capacity is.
DR. VIGILANTE: Thank you. We have distributed that paper.
DR. GREEN: Let's assume for just a minute that we are most interested this afternoon in systematic assessment of the capacity to surge.
Given Dr. Snyder's comments and yours, whether it is your atrium or his hotel, what is your thinking about the metric?
DR. AUF DER HEIDE: Who are you asking?
DR. VIGILANT: Well, he is looking at Dan for the moment, but we will take the answer from anybody.
DR. HANFLING: Erik, let me take a shot at it, and then I would like to hear your thoughts, too. You know, actually the key metric, to he honest with you, is not so much flat space or ED treatment space, I think, was the phrase that was used in the HRSA survey.
It actually is the care giver that can stand by the bedside to provide that care. That, I think, actually is the key metric and is the rate limiting step, if you will, around which the ability to surge in demand for care actually gets meted out.
DR. SNYDER: And that means different things around the world in terms of who is that care giver, what their level of competence is, training, et cetera, et cetera.
DR. AUF DER HEIDE: You have been talking about real time data collection, but I think it also would be important to collect some data after disasters to find out how many people are showing up at the hospital who otherwise might have been able to get care, had their routine sources of care been able to survive and function.
That had some real important implications for where you might put resources. Just to give you an example, in Hurricane Aniki in Hawaii it was estimated that the cost of DMAT, disaster medical assistance care team, was $1,500 per patient contact.
Most of these were not for critical injuries or illnesses but basically for minor emergencies and family practice type of care.
You kind of wonder, if you had taken that same amount of money and had a cadre of trailers with generators on them, that you could have taken around and gotten physicians offices and urgent care centers and other sources of care back up on line, if it might have been a more efficient use of resources. I think we need to kind of expand our horizons and think a little bit outside the box.
DR. VIGILANTE: Thanks. We are running a little bit behind and a little bit of sequence. I would like to propose that if Terry and then Mike can present back to back, and then have a little discussion, and then we will move on from there.
Agenda Item: DHS Office of Health Affairs and Our Role in Interagency Medical Planning.
DR. ADIRIM: I am Terry Adirim. I am from what is going to now be called the office of health affairs at the Department of Homeland Security.
Basically, I am just going to give a couple of minutes about what our office does. We don't generate the kind of data that I think we are talking about today. We are more of a coordinating and integrative function.
HHS, under HSPD8, is the lead in medical planning and response, under HSPD5, if it is an incidence of national significance we then take the lead.
What happened was -- and this is just a story that I heard kind of third hand -- but during TOPOF-3, Secretary Chertoff needed medical advice, and there wasn't anybody in DHS who could provide him medical advice, and he decided that he needed to have a medical advisor.
So, in 2005, a chief medical officer, Dr. Jeff Runge(?), who is an emergency physician, undertook that position.
This past year it was realized that there were a lot of other functions that were needed to integrate a medical response and coordinate amongst various agencies, and we have since undertaken some other tasks as well.
So, the chief medical officer serves as the Secretary's principal medical advisor, coordinates Homeland Security's biodefense activities, as well as DHS's medical preparedness activities.
We are also the point of contact for federal, state, local and private sector for medical and public health issues, and I will show you a little bit about what our new org chart is looking like.
We have Dr. Runge, after March, will be the assistant secretary for health affairs. We have a principal chief medical officer. Both are emergency medical physicians with extensive EMS experience.
Then we have three divisions within our organization. We have weapons of mass destruction, biodefense line. We have an associate chief medical office, Till Jolly, who is an emergency medicine physician, under medical readiness.
We also have an associate chief medical officer who will be doing sort of an occupational health type function.
A little bit about what kind of data we do generate, which isn't really within this line, but basically what WMD and biodefense division does is collect information with regard to early warning for infectious disease outbreaks.
Currently we have just undertaken the program biowatch, which was under science and technology. it is a environmental monitoring and detection program. Over 30 metropolitan areas have these filters in various places, like metro, and collect information daily or more than daily, on infectious disease type things.
Biosense is at CDC. Bioshield, we have a small component of that, because Homeland Security provides the threat analysis that goes into the medical countermeasures that are procured under bioshield, which is housed at ASPR.
We are now undertaking the national biosurveillance integration system, or NBIS, which integrates all of this into one system, in order to collect data in one central location, and they will be housed under the office of health affairs.
Under medical readiness, which is where I work, I, too, am an emergency physician. I am a pediatric emergency physician. I worked at children's hospital for many years here.
Our function is primarily as an integrator amongst agencies and coordinator of medical disaster planning. For example, we are very active right now with pandemic planning along with HHS.
We also take DHS' lead with regard to state and local government and private sector partners. For example, we work with our grants in training that provides a lot of the funding to the various places in this country where EMS and first responders get their funding. We aid grants in training with that particular function.
As opposed to being a response unit, we are essentially a policy and planning type unit and participate with ASPR and other parts of HHS like the CDC, to plan for disasters.
Some of the questions that came up in our minds with regard to information are very similar to what has already been talked about.
How do we collect this data and disseminate it to such disparate entities. There seems to be a big silo effect in government and getting this data and even knowing it exists is an issue, and especially for us, because we are not housed at HHS, yet we have an integrative function.
So, how do we get this data? Where is it? How do we share it? I think these are important issues for us. That is basically what I had to present today.
DR. VIGILANTE: What we are going to do is have Mike present his, and then we are going to have questions for both, just so we can start to have some economies timewise. Thanks very much.
Agenda Item: Case Study: Value of the Electronic Health Record in the VA.
MR. VOJTASKO: Let me go ahead and get started. In the interests of time I am going to try to go through this rather rapidly.
First of all, obviously I could not be there in person, but getting out of the West Virginia panhandle was not possible this morning.
However, I do appreciate the opportunity to talk a little bit about what is, in terms of bed surge, in terms of two programs that the VA is involved in.
There has been a little bit of mention of this in the previous discussion, but I just wanted to give a little bit more detail.
First, we are basically 25 years now. VA under the public law, has the requirement to support the Department of Defense in war time.
We do this through a plan that was put in place in the early 1980s and still exists today. They are updating it based upon some changes in both DOD and how the VA does business, but the bottom line is that, under the legislation, VA can surge its beds based upon a reordering of the care that we provide for our veterans.
In this case, when requested by DOD, active duty patients get bed priority. In addition to that, we do the normal surge-type activities in terms of early discharge, transfers to some of our secondary support hospitals, and so on and so forth.
So, that is one activity that we have been reporting beds to DOD for, as I said, about 25 years now, first on a computerized system that they had in the early 1980s. That was updated twice, and I will get into that in a minute.
The second area is the national disaster medical system, which basically was developed again in the early 1980s and basically put into place about 1984.
Of course, most of us are familiar with the response component with the DMATs and the other response teams, but also there are two other components of it that we saw during the response to the 2005 hurricanes, and that was the evacuation component and the use of NDNS hospitals that have signed up for the system.
During Hurricane Katrina and Rita, there were approximately 2,500 patients that were evacuated to about 10 of our federal coordinating centers plus two DOD facilities.
Those places were, as you recall, evacuated under rather the worst circumstances, basically the kind of things that you might see in a combat situation. It was rather chaotic.
Yet the patients got on board the aircraft and got to these reception aircraft and got to the types of care that they required.
So, how we do that, a large part of that is done based upon our coordination with DOD and their evacuation system, which serves both the NDMS and the DOD itself.
Earlier I think somebody talked about a system that DOD now has that they have been using, especially with the current Iraq war.
That system is an adjunct to their patient regulating system. It is called the joint patient tracking application and it does indeed allow them to track patients basically all the way from the battlefield in Iraq to Landstuhl, Germany, and to the United States and into whatever hospital active duty military eventually arrive.
The lead responsibility for the NDMS definitive care, which basically is the hospital portion, as you see, is concentrated in the major metropolitan areas.
Each area has a coordinating center, either a VA or DOD facility. Each of those areas are selected based upon their ability to receive and distribute casualties.
Being that most of that transport is by air, as we saw in response to the hurricane, they have to be available to a major airport or something of that nature, that can handle military aircraft.
These are the locations of the federal coordinating centers. They basically cover most, if not all, the major metropolitan areas of the country.
We heard earlier, I believe, about a survey that I believe was done in 2003-2004 -- correct me if I am wrong -- with a third of the hospitals did not know that they were NDMS facilities.
That may not have been surprising for that period of time. I will tell you that I would hope that, since Hurricane Katrina and Rita, that has changed dramatically.
Especially in October 2005, there was a new memorandum of understanding developed between DHS, HHS, VA and DOD.
Part of that memorandum of understanding required new memoranda to be executed with all the NDMS hospitals. So, between the response to the hurricanes and the visibility of NDMS there, and the fact that just recently over the last six months both VA and DOD have updated those MOUs, I would like to think that today NDMS at those facilities is a lot more visible.
These are the primary STC responsibilities. I won't go into detail except the last two, and that is really the subject of why I am even speaking about this.
One is to report local NDMS patient bed availability and then to receive patients to the area, as we saw in the aftermath of the hurricanes and transport the patients to the local hospital.
The bed count reporting is basically part of the same system. >From the VA and DOD medical treatment facilities and coordinating centers, they report the bed availability to a function that is located out at Scott Air Force Base. It is called the global patient movements requirements center.
On the other end of it, the casualty requirements, movement requirements are also reported to that entity. That entity matches up the patient requirements with the available beds and the transport assets to move the patients to these beds.
These are the basic bed and casualty reporting categories. I say basic, because there is a whole system that stands behind this.
There are also 138 specialties and subspecialties that are mapped to these five, and actually can be broken down simply to med surg.
It is based upon coding, but we can get rather definitive about the patient requirements and then map it to these five patient categories.
Under NDMS, remember, the patient reception portion is important because it is at that point that, when the casualties are received, in one of these federal coordinating center patient reception areas, there is actually a reception team that basically does the triage and actual assignment to a particular NDMS hospital in that area.
The system that has been put in place since the early 1990s after the first Iraq war to accommodate this bed and casualty reporting is the transcom regulating and command and control evacuation system, commonly referred to as TRACES.
The JPTA or the joint patient tracking application, is an adjunct to that system. So, we can not only track patients and report beds and then track patients through the evacuation system, but also then track patients to the actual hospital where they could be cared for.
So, in essence today have about 25 years experience with ability to rapidly report patients, rapidly report bed capability, but it is always -- as we talk about metrics and as we talk about this whole area, is to remind ourselves of the obvious, and that is what we are really talking about is patient capability and capacity.
Some have said that what we really need to be reporting is simply that, ability to care for patients and not think about beds at all.
I would like to make one other proviso, that while we are focusing either regionally, statewide, nationally or what-have-you, and we want to look at numbers of beds nationally or whatever basis we can to surge to take care of patients, that we must not forget that there needs to be a system and a mechanism to move patients to those beds, and a mechanism at the local level to coordinate the arrival of those patients and then move them to the local hospitals.
So, as I said, I tried to do this very quickly. This is the last slide, but to hit the high points, as I said, to indicate that there are some things going on, have been for a number of years.
I would hope that all or some of the lessons learned and some of the current capabilities that we are already involved in can be incorporated into ongoing and future discussions in terms of surge capability in the United States. So, having said that, any questions of comments, I will be most happy to address them.
DR. VIGILANTE: Thanks. I think our plant is to have Art make a few comments as discussant, and then just open it up to discussion, to discuss your presentation as well as Terry's.
Agenda Item: Discussant. Art Kellerman.
DR. KELLERMAN: Thank you. I am just going to offer a couple of short comments. Corey Slovis, a Vanderbilt Emergency Physician, told me that most people can't remember more than five things. He always takes every lesson down to five points.
I am going to offer two short comments, two very brief stories, because we are in Washington and stories count as much as data, and then I will offer one idea that I think plays off of comments that I have heard several people make up to this point.
The two comments are, first, the best way to assure that a system can function under extreme circumstances is to have systems that function efficiently and effectively on a daily basis.
We don't have that today. That came from the very first presentation that we heard this afternoon. We are diverting hundreds of thousands of ambulances, our ERs are swamped with patients. Our hospitals are full all the time and understaffed and financially stressed. So, we have a huge challenge ahead of us.
The second issue is, if we want to generate the data and metrics to more effectively manage that system, we should figure out how to do that in a manner that facilitates that daily function.
A tool that is operationally useful on a daily basis that helps hospitals meet their mission, helps doctors and nurses do their job, gets the right patient to the right place at the right time, and that can ramp up or function more effectively in a mass casualty event, not something you pull out of a box or you open up a room and turn on the power and suddenly everything is working great, which is the model that we currently have.
Two quick stories that illustrate that opportunity and that challenge. The first is, last August, about a week before I left to come up here for this fellowship, I made the rash decision of embedding two reporters in my department for a week.
They were with me on Saturday night about 3:00 in the morning. A CAT scanner had gone down. We have seven critically injured trauma patients in our four-bed critical care bay, four of them who were on ventilators with severe brain injuries.
Our recovery room was full. All our ICUs were full, all our operating rooms were full. Our hallways were completely jammed with patients. Blood was rolling out on the floor and I got a phone call from a doctor in Delanaga(?) Georgia with a critically injured 21 year old, single vehicle versus tree, begging me to take the patient in transfer.
I ran over and looked at our rudimentary -- and that is a generous term -- diversion spread sheet and the only trauma center that handles adults in the metro Atlanta area of over 4.5 million people that was not on diversion, was between this doctor and me.
I ran back and I said, well, there is one trauma center open and it is North Fulton Hospital. He said, they have already turned me down twice.
They can't do that. Well, they have done it. How about -- doctor, please don't. I have called seven hospitals and everybody has told me they can't take this patient. He is going to die if you can't help me.
This is with a reporter snapping pictures and scribbling on his pad. I said, send a patient. What in the hell is a doctor doing calling seven hospitals in a single cover emergency department in north Georgia who needs care for a patient.
That drama plays itself out across this country every night with people trying to get folks to the right hospital.
The second hospital is a post-Katrina story. We were part of the NDMS system in metro Atlanta. We got 19 aircraft in six days and evacuated 1,600 patients. That was a small percentage of the estimated 300,000 who self evacuated to Georgia, the majority of whom ended up in the metro Atlanta area, and we were not pushed as hard as Houston or Baton Rouge or Dallas or a couple of other places closer to New Orleans.
We got 600 acutely ill patients who went straight from Dobbins into hospital beds in a city that, on any given day, has six to eight hospitals on ambulance diversion.
Our counties decided that they didn't need to open their EOCs because this wasn't a county level disaster, and the state EOC was swamped, and this was a regional issue sort of below the state level, although they were open and scrambling in a lot of other ways.
We muddled through but it was incredibly difficult. The real difficulty was not the first or the second or the third day. It was about days five through about 25, when we kept having people get shot and have heart attacks and seizures and all the other things that happen in a metro area with 4.5 million people, and now we had absolutely no inpatient capacity.
So, we ended up scrabbling together and tried to create a coordinating capacity to figure out where we could get the next patient into a bed.
It was an incredibly difficult circumstance, one that was played out in receiving cities around the country, but nobody paid attention because we were all fixated properly on the Gulf.
So, the one idea, playing off the ideas that I have heard today is, as a pilot program -- because congress and administrations love pilot programs -- let's look at developing five or six regional, not air traffic control centers, but ambulance traffic control centers, that would function on a day to day, night to night, basis, to monitor occupancy rates, emergency department crowding, on call specialty coverage, which is an increasingly difficult problem.
It doesn't matter if you are a trauma set if you have got no neurosurgical coverage tonight and you have a patient with a bad brain injury.
It monitors diversion status with the goal that it is going to be always open all the time, but we have got to get there first.
That would not be for every single inbound ambulance, but it would certainly be for the inbound ambulances and interfacility transfers with critically ill and injured children and adults.
It would generate the metrics on a day to day, shift to shift basis that could go straight into that fancy EOC that I have seen somewhere in this building, that is a phenomenal data collection resource point, but doesn't have this kind of data showing in any city today.
Learn from Maryland. We haven't heard about it yet, but we are going to. Learn from Northern Virginia. There are some systems out there that are most of the way, and maybe in a couple of communities all the way there, but let's do this in the cities that DHS would say are our most problematic cities for mass casualty events.
See how it happens for two or three years. I think it would be a dramatic improvement. It would improve day to day care of critically ill and injured children and adults.
It would also create an immediate situational awareness that would allow us to manage a mass casualty event, whether it is due to bioterrorism, a transit system bombing, the emergence of an infectious disease or a natural disaster. Thank you.
DR. VIGILANTE: Thank you, Art, and thanks to the presenters. I just am going to open it up now for comments on these most recent presentations.
DR. SNYDER: Art, are you prepared to give those half a dozen or so regional traffic control centers a set of standards so that they could communicate with one another?
DR. KELLERMAN: Absolutely. I think in the mind's eye of the people who have conceived this, there should be a uniform platform, a uniform set of functions. I would envision this as something that would also absolutely require a state, if not a community, partnership in terms of matching funds, because you have got to have buy in at the local level.
Yes, the data should be collected and reported and managed in a consistent manner, so that you can compare apples to apples and oranges to oranges. I wouldn't have each city inventing their own system and their own data metrics.
MR. J. SCANLON: If I could follow up, are you envisioning this as more of a communication system, or would it be decision making?
DR. KELLERMAN: I would say a little of both communications and decisions personally. This is clearly an idea that would have to be worked out.
I think back to that doctor in north Georgia. I suspect that doctors in western Maryland today can call MEMS and say they have got a patient with problem X. It is one call and the next thing they hear is a helicopter or a ground ambulance is en route, and we will find the hospital to take your patient.
I mean, you go back to taking care of the patient which is, after all, what doctors really kind of want to do. Yes, I can imagine all kinds of folks, managed care is going to get all upset, but if it is not our hospital, what about this and that.
That is fine. If your hospital is on diversion and this hospital is the closest with the appropriate staffing, you can cut a check and work with it later. I think it would be in everybody's interest to have this kind of capability, but it would be operational and it would produce data of immediate benefit to hospitals.
If I am having an acute MI and Mr. Bentley's hospital has an interventional cardiologist who can take me in the next 30 minutes, I want to go there. I don't want us to have to figure it out over the next 90 minutes to two hours.
DR. BENTLEY: I don't disagree with what Art has suggested, although I think it is more for the routine than the mass casualty setting.
We are behaving this afternoon as if we are going to have control and be in charge of the patients when we have a mass casualty surge, and I really think we need to disabuse ourselves.
If you look at what is happening, in every mass casualty incident around the world, the medical system did not have control of the patients.
People went by scores. Every hospital is overloaded. It is not a question of where we allocate patients from. Every hospital is overloaded.
Moreover, they are overloaded in many ways with patients who have the very same medical need. So, it is not an allocation matter.
Whether you look at Taipai or Turkey or Indonesia or Pakistan, we have had the luxury as a company to not -- you could say we had one in Katrina, but I really don't think we did on the scale that a mass casualty surge is designed to look at.
I think we ought to say to ourselves, separate from the other discussion today, and not disagreeing with Art that that would be an improvement for health care generically, but we have got to get beyond the point where we think we are going to be able to direct and then charge patients.
There are going to be thousands and they are going to go -- I will talk a little bit when It is my turn about some things I think we should do as well to complement what Art is suggesting, but I think we have got to be very careful that we don't get this model that says it is kind of an air traffic control system, where we are going to know who the patients are, we are going to send them where we have got resources. We are going to be swamped at a much higher level than that.
DR. KELLERMAN: What I would say is, for the patients who self evacuate, the walking wounded, the ones who get thrown in the back of somebody's car, you are right.
Erik Auf Der Heide, who is on this call, I think has written the definitive analysis of the real experience of disasters versus our conceptual models.
For people who require transport, who are severely ill or injured, you actually can do this fairly rationally. Nobody, I think, does it better on an operational basis than the folks in Israel, where they have had a lot of experience with this and have, in fact, built this sort of capacity.
One of the interesting issues in Israel is, if you go into their hospitals, their inpatient corridors are set up to become inpatient wards in multicasualty events because they double as their military hospital system as well.
I think there are some lessons we can learn here. I am not suggesting this is a definitive answer. I am suggesting we can get the kind of surge data we need on an ongoing basis by developing a tool that will benefit hospital operations on a daily basis, not asking people to fill out a form or go to a web site every day or once a week.
DR. AUF DER HEIDE: Art, just let me amplify on that a little bit. I think what the data in the United States shows that, in most disasters, they are characterized by a maldistribution of casualties.
A lot of this is due to the fact that a lot of the patients are transported by non-ambulance vehicle. The fact remains that some of those patients, and most often the more critical ones, which are transported by ambulance, you want to be able to define which hospitals are being overloaded, and to redistribute the load and to take those ambulances over which you do have control and make sure they don't go to places that are already overloaded.
I think the other aspect of that, for example, during the 1994 earthquake in Los Angeles, ambulances were bringing casualties to hospitals that were being evacuated because they were damaged by the earthquake.
So, having a real time intelligence and sort of traffic control establishment, I think, really makes some sense based on the data and the experience in the United States.
DR. HANFLING: Just to follow up on that point, though, the concept of our regional hospital coordinating center that we have now in place in northern Virginia, it started as what we call Medcom, which was really a medical communications clearinghouse.
It is, again, I think, for discussion beyond this panel, but there is a lot of education that has to go on in the hospital EMS community around decision making with regard to moving patients.
I understand it. Again, I speak about this from their perspective having been in the fire service, but the point about who is going to take control, I think, is an interesting one.
That is why I go back to saying that it is ours to take back control over and we have to have those real discussions with EMS.
Then we also really have to share information with the patients who hopefully, in an informed capacity, can make some of those decisions ahead of time.
DR. VIGILANTE: Jim, why don't you do your presentation, because I think this is going to dovetail quite nicely.
DR. BENTLEY: In light of the time, let me try to make four points, although admittedly, given some people know, some of those points will have subpoints.
One, there is less money available for data in the health care system now than there has ever been. Now, that seems contrary to what a lot of us experienced, but what we observe is, we are getting more and more push back.
As places have been pushed to be more efficient and as payments don't grow at the rate that at least the providers and practitioners would like them to grow at, the people who are getting cut out of the system, at one time, when the hospitals had a lot of assistant and associate administrators, assistant this, that and the other things, there were lots of people to fill out questionnaires or submit data.
That is disappearing. I fact, we had to shrink our annual survey because we basically got enough push back from the members who said, shrink it or we won't complete it. It is that simple.
Secondly, as this committee looks at its task, I really hope it will ask, what decisions are the data designed to address.
I am dismayed, I guess is the right word, that we collect an awful lot of data without a real good idea of what we are going to do with it.
If we really want people out in the field to provide that kind of data, we need to be able to communicate what decision that is designed to address.
Third, in terms of surge, which has at least been one of the themes today, a couple of at least my observations, and what I hear from our members.
One, at least for the past five years, there has been too much of a tendency to think of surges and inventory.
Surge is really a process. How do we go about taking whatever we have and expanding our capability to care for people.
It has a couple of limiting steps. One is to think in the way that Dan said, can we match demand to resources. In that sense, we need to have a model of demand management we think about and, at least as we think about it, there are a couple of things, four things, that we need to think about.
One, can we rapidly identify the non-recoverable patients. We have got to help the public understand a military definition of triage in a terrible situation, rather than a civilian definition, if you will, or a normal definition of triage. Having identified those, how do we use the least resources for them.
Secondly, can we maximize self care. How do we, as Dan has suggested, maximize the ability of people not to present to any part of the system if they can care for themselves.
I am old enough to remember when we taught people to do that back in the civil defense era, or at least we thought we had them taught to do that, and there are still a few buildings around town, if you watch, where you can still see the sign up on the building. I hope they don't have the foodstuffs and so forth down in the basement.
Third, how do we maximize the distributed ambulatory care. How do we get people to go to, if not their routine site of care, a distributed site of care because, if they don't, they are going to collapse on the hospital.
That is where they know, or at least they think they know, they can go, and there are usually a set of highway signs that tell them how to get there.
They can't go to the health department. They have no clue in most communities where the health department facilities are. So, they will go to the hospital.
Lastly, in the area of demand management, how do we develop shelter capabilities, whether it is for people who are on dialysis, the Red Cross will not take a woman who is pregnant more than 32 weeks. So, if you can't house that person in a Red Cross shelter, they are going to wind up in a hospital.
If they are only 32 weeks pregnant, you may have four or five weeks where you have that patient really boarding, and it is a bad use of hospital or other resources.
In addition to the demand management, going to the other side,w hat are the resources the hospital really needs.
I would agree with the VA gentleman who said we ought to think less about beds. If you look at what it is, one, as Dan said, clearly staff is the rate limiting step here.
It is what makes, Jack, some of the use of alternative site facilities less successful as people have explored them.
If you don't have staff, and staff who know what to do, and equipment and so forth to put in those sites, you may be using them for housing people but you are really not using them for medical care because you don't have the capacity to do that.
What did we really learn in the last couple of years? It is utilities. If you don't have water, if you don't have sewage, if you don't have electricity, stand by generators.
If I could get somebody to invest in anything, we don't have stand by generators that can last under load. Every major experiment that has involved, or minor disaster that has involved, using them, the generators go down and we lose capacity.
The hospital wants to know, what is the status of the water system, the sewage system, the electric system, the gas and the oil.
Secondly, transportation. When we were working with the Department of homeland Security in the very first days of Katrina, the key issues were two. Could we provide security to the facilities that were there, public safety, and could we get gasoline in the tanks of employees who only had enough gas to go one way. If they went home, they were out for the rest of the duration.
There was no electricity to pump gasoline. There was no priority at the pumps. We need to have the transportation system.
Interestingly, in Rita, on a call where we were working with the Texas Rangers, they said, flat out, go to our web site, download our logo.
If anyone wants to get through who is an employee, make up their own certificate and sign it. Nobody out there in the sheriff's department knows what my signature looks like. It works.
Third, if we are going to have resources, we really need the supply chain to work. Do the big distributors have the capability to really make the things move.
We live in a just in time world where Art and his colleagues are using it up in the ED almost as fast as it is coming through the system.
We have got to keep -- for our members, it is in many ways more important to have data on that supply chain and where things are needed than it is on patients.
Lastly, the public safety services. The hospital -- there are four refuges in our society, as best we can tell, the police, fire departments, houses of worship of whatever denomination, and the hospital.
That is where people feel they can go safely and be taken care of in a disaster. We have learned in every disaster the police and fire station doesn't work because there is nobody there. They are out in the community.
Most churches, synagogues, what have you, aren't very helpful because they are very low staff enterprises, and they are really not equipped to handle it. So, people come to the hospital who don't need the hospital.
That is the place where they expect there to be pharmaceuticals if they need them. There is light. There is power.
One of our hospitals in Meridian, Mississippi used up a week's supply of food in the first 12 hours because they fed 3,500 non-patients three meals a day. That was the only place they could eat.
Now, in terms of data, let me make five very quick observations. One, go back to my point, what decisions are the data designed to impact. If we can't answer that, we probably ought to ask what we are collecting the data for.
Secondly, is the data useful to the submitter. I would underline Art's point. If it isn't, it probably isn't very good data and it will just wither eventually.
Third, is the data collection process consistent with the one that has been established as part of the national plan, that is, federal to state to local, back up, up and down.
We get an extraordinary number of complaints from physicians we talk to in their offices or from hospitals, that all kinds of other steps, whether it is federal direct down to local, or whether it is study centers or whatever, keep adding additional links in that chain and, the more independent links there are in that chain, the less people know what to do.
Fourth, is data a byproduct of routine operations? If it is not, it won't be very good data. Lastly, simpler is better, and let me close with a story.
When patients were being evacuated form New Orleans, under the NDMS system, the people in New Orleans couldn't say where the patients had gone.
We put in place a reverse tracking system. That is work with every hospital that received patients to say who did you get, where did they come from, so that families could learn. Art may remember lots of hospitals in Georgia filling out that data.
The reason for that is elegantly simple. I had a hand in the 1970s when ASMR was the air force predecessor to this under the national defense medical system.
You could not leave the ground as a pilot if you did not have a manifest that you carried with you, and that you left with the dispersing officer. If that plain went down, we wanted to know who was on that plane. It was that simple.
In Katrina, when we called and were working trying to get that data, the people on the airfield down in New Orleans did not have it. The people landing the plane did not have it.
The reason was simple. The vendor that won the contract for the data system won in a competitive contract where, to win, you wanted to find the most sophisticated, complex, all needs system you can develop, lap top based.
We called the people in New Orleans and asked, where is the data and they said, sorry, our lap tops lost power and we have no way to recharge them.
We had a very sophisticated data system. Had it worked, had they had battery capacity, had they had lap tops, it would have been ideal.
It was designed to feed back out through the net. We need to remember, in most disasters, sophistication is our enemy, not our friend, and we need data systems that can work in very simple ways. The more elegant they are, the more complex they are, the less likely they are to survive.
MR. J. SCANLON: If I could, your annual survey, if I could go back to this a minute, this goes to all hospitals who are members and non-members as well.
DR. BENTLEY: Yes, it goes to every hospital in the United States.
MR. J. SCANLON: Do you get any data on this area, preparedness?
DR. BENTLEY: We get som every limited data and we do a couple of other sometimes special surveys during the year on a kind of fax back kind of basis. For instance, we have added questions on negative pressure rooms.
This is the constant balance of, with 1,000 masters, both us and a variety of agencies and public interests and so forth, how do you keep the survey no larger. So, if you add something, you can add anything you want, as long as you tell me what you are going to take off.
DR. VIGILANTE: I think in some ways this goes to the heart of the issue. The Hospital Quality Alliance, you have hospitals beset by all sorts of stakeholder groups who want to measure quality in some way.
Hospitals are bombarded with requests for data, often, in different formats, to answer the same question, and it is a huge burden of reporting.
So, the Hospital Quality Alliance is trying to harmonize these measures, so that there can be consistent data requests that you answer once, that satisfies everybody.
Now, we have NCHS asking hospitals for data, we have AHA asking questions -- on preparedness, to some degree -- HRSA, JAHCO. Do we need sort of a process to harmonize the collection of preparedness data that will satisfy a broader number of stakeholders, and identify that data we need in real time, or almost real time, and that data we need periodically or episodically over the course of the year or annually. Do you think there is a role for that kind of activity kind of going forward?
DR. BENTLEY: I think as the HRSA hospital bioterrorism preparedness was originally conceived, it would have had that role.
What we have found, and what our hospitals have observed, is once you decide that each state and locality was in the middle tier, then each state and locality decided what it is they wanted to add, subtract, delete, modify or change, and it lost that vision that was once there.
Whether or not we can capture that back, there is just an enormous tension between what different levels of government -- say anything about day to day operations -- different levels of government think they want to have.
Each level of government thinks their need is the most important. So, you sit down with, whether it is state hospital associations or state health departments, and it often, for reasons that are very appropriate for that health department or that state hospital association or something else, it makes sense individually, but the sum of them don't make sense at all.
DR. KELLERMAN: Let me mention quickly, you made a comment about quality and I am going to say this and wake up Sally Phillips on the phone.
A couple of months ago I attended an AHRQ briefing, or at least there was an individual there talking about a new quality survey for hospital care and hospital experience of the patients.
Five items on this survey dealt with bathroom use and bathroom conditions, because that is an important part of the hospital experience. Not one item dealt with emergency department care experience.
I asked the architect and they said, well, that is a minority -- not everybody that gets in the hospital comes through the emergency department.
I said, okay, do you have any items on your ambulatory care survey. They said, no, because the emergency department is a hospital based provision of care.
So, we have got two major surveys dealing with quality of patient experience. Neither of them think that emergency care is relevant to the core mission of their survey.
Thank God for NHAMSIS and Katherine Burt and people who have at least mined that data set. Part of our problem is that we do have lots of surveys and lots of data, but we are not measuring some of the critical items that we need to measure for preparedness and for life and death care.
DR. BOENNING: I think that is ultimately where we want to get to in the discussion.
DR. PRITCHETT